The US Open looks more open than ever, and top-seeded Alexander Zverev says the absence of Jannik Sinner and questions surrounding defending champion Carlos Alcaraz as he returns from injury do little to enhance his own status as favourite.
"I feel like I'm one of the 128 players that are favourites in the draw," the German said as he prepared for the start of the last Grand Slam of the season on Sunday in Flushing Meadows.
Zverev captured a long-awaited first Grand Slam title at the French Open this year and finished runner-up to world No 1 Sinner at Wimbledon.
Alcaraz, whose Australian Open title in January made him the youngest man to complete the career Grand Slam, missed both of those tournaments with a right wrist injury that the Spaniard says is fully healed.
But more than four months have elapsed since he last played, and it remains to be seen if he has the requisite fitness to become the first man to win back-to-back US Open titles since Roger Federer won his fifth straight back in 2008.
"I expect him to be maybe a bit rusty the first or second match, but once he gets through that, I think he's going to be a contender for sure here," Zverev said.
A host of players who could challenge the top two seeds includes 39-year-old Novak Djokovic, seeded fourth as he again chases a record-setting 25th Grand Slam singles title.
Djokovic said his early exit amid physical struggles in the Cincinnati Masters had a silver lining, allowing him to "really train and get my body and mind into the right state, prepared for what's coming up."
Like Zverev, Shelton was reluctant to paint Sinner's withdrawal with a knee injury as an automatic boost to his own title hopes.
"I know how much quality that there is in the draw," Shelton said. "I think it would be disrespectful to just think 'Oh, there's no Sinner, it's a massive opportunity."
Shelton pointed to Zverev, the returning Alcaraz and Djokovic, but also to rising talents like France's Arthur Fils, who won his first ATP Masters title in Cincinnati last week.
"All the American guys are pretty dangerous on this surface," added Shelton, who retired from the third round at the US Open last year with a shoulder injury. "I think to kind of discredit the group that is playing high-level tennis right now wouldn't be smart."
SABALENKA SWOON
Women's world No 1 Aryna Sabalenka insists no one should count her out as she bids to become just the third woman, after Chris Evert and Serena Williams to win three straight US Open titles.
But since her back-to-back hard-court titles in Indian Wells and Miami the Belarusian star hasn't reached a final, and even if she pulls off the rare treble she could still lose her world No 1 ranking.
Second-ranked Elena Rybakina, who beat Sabalenka for the Australian Open title in January, has been steadily closing in and could secure the top spot with a run to the semifinals regardless of Sabalenka's results.
Rybakina's US Open build-up has been clouded by injury, but six-time Grand Slam champion Iga Swiatek, third-ranked Jessica Pegula and No 4 Coco Gauff arrive buoyed by recent successes.
"There's not one or two super-dominant players where you feel like they have to lose in order for you to have a chance," said Pegula, who has won two titles this season and reached three other finals.
Pegula was beaten in the Cincinnati title match by a resurgent Gauff, who won the first of her two Grand Slam titles at the US Open in 2023.
Swiatek, the former world No 1 from Poland, sent a signal with her first title of the year in Toronto.
All of the marquee names – including two-time champion Naomi Osaka – will have to contend with rising stars including Philippines sensation Alexandra Eala and Sara Bejlek, the 20-year-old Czech who is seeded 28th after a breakout run to the Cincinnati semifinals that included a victory over Sabalenka.