The Opta Predictor suggests Liverpool’s clash with Galatasaray is the most finely balanced of the second legs, with the Reds still tipped to edge through despite trailing from the first leg. Elsewhere, Tottenham face a near-impossible task after heavy first leg defeat, while Bayern Munich and Atlético Madrid look almost certain to progress. Catch all the action live on SuperSport.
Barcelona v Newcastle United (Agg: 1-1)
The Camp Nou stages a fascinating decider. Barcelona’s history favours them – they’ve won both previous home meetings with Newcastle and have never failed to progress after drawing the first leg away in the Champions League. Their record of scoring in 16 straight home games in the competition, averaging over three goals per match, underlines their attacking power.
Newcastle, though, arrive unbeaten in six Champions League outings. Harvey Barnes and Anthony Gordon have been prolific, and Lewis Hall’s standout first-leg performance showed the Magpies’ resilience. Yet history weighs heavy: English sides rarely overcome Barcelona after failing to win the first leg. Lamine Yamal, who struck the equaliser last week, could be the difference-maker in his first knockout appearance at Camp Nou.
Tottenham Hotspur v Atlético Madrid (Agg: 2-5)
Tottenham’s hopes hang by a thread. Losing the first leg by three goals is usually fatal – only four teams have ever overturned such a deficit. Spurs’ perfect home record this season (four wins, 10 goals scored, none conceded) offers a glimmer of hope, but Atlético’s firepower is daunting. Julián Álvarez has already set a club record with 10 goal involvements, while Antoine Griezmann continues to deliver in big moments.
Atlético’s defensive solidity has waned in recent years, but their ruthless first-leg blitz – three goals inside 15 minutes – highlighted their attacking evolution. Spurs will look to Dominic Solanke, who has scored in all three of his Champions League appearances, and to young Archie Gray, chasing a club record for starts at his age. Yet the odds remain firmly stacked against them.
Liverpool v Galatasaray (Agg: 0-1)
Anfield braces for a tense night. Liverpool trail after losing in Istanbul, but the Predictor still gives them a narrow edge to progress. The Reds have only twice overturned a first-leg deficit in this competition, both times in semifinals, and Galatasaray have already beaten them twice this season.
Galatasaray’s away record in Europe is poor – just one win in 12 trips to England – but Victor Osimhen and Hugo Ekitiké bring menace. Osimhen’s assist last week put him level with Kanu for Nigerian goal involvements in the competition, while Ekitiké’s dribbling troubled Liverpool’s defence. For the Reds, Mohamed Salah is chasing history as the first African to reach 50 Champions League goals, and Virgil van Dijk has been unusually productive in attack. Expect Anfield to roar, but Galatasaray will not be overawed.
Bayern Munich v Atalanta (Agg: 6-1)
This tie looks all but settled. Bayern’s demolition job in Bergamo – the heaviest home defeat ever suffered by an Italian side in the Champions League knockouts – leaves Atalanta with no realistic path forward. No team has ever recovered from a five-goal first-leg deficit in European competition.
Bayern, dominant at home, boast Harry Kane’s extraordinary scoring record at the Allianz Arena, while Serge Gnabry and Michael Olise showcased their side’s fluid attacking sequences in the first leg. Joshua Kimmich and Aleksandar Pavlovic continue to dictate play with line-breaking passes, and Luis Díaz’s dribbling added flair. Atalanta’s Mario Pašalić remains their most reliable European performer, but this mountain is simply too steep.
Wednesday night offers a mix of near-certainties and tantalising possibilities. Bayern and Atlético look assured of progress, while Barcelona should have enough to see off Newcastle. Liverpool’s clash with Galatasaray, however, promises the most drama – a knife-edge contest where history, form, and Anfield’s atmosphere collide.