Premier League Matchweek 29: what the stats say

The Premier League Matchweek 29 promises to be exciting with some enterprising matchups notably West Ham hosting Aston Villa and the relegation dogfight between Nottingham Forest and Luton.

Burnley v Brentford | 17:00 CAT, live on SuperSport

Burnley have lost just one of their last 11 home league games against Brentford (W6 D4), beating the Bees 3-1 in their only previous Premier League meeting at Turf Moor in October 2021.

Following their 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, Brentford are looking to complete the league double over Burnley for just the second time, previously doing so in the second tier in 1934-35.

Following a run of five consecutive wins against promoted sides, Brentford lost 1-0 against Sheffield United in their last such match. They’re yet to lose consecutive meetings with promoted teams in the Premier League.

Brentford (28) and Burnley (20) are the two teams to have dropped the most points from winning positions in the Premier League this season (before Bournemouth v Luton), with the Clarets letting a 2-0 lead slip to draw with West Ham last time out. In the case of both teams, it’s the most points they’ve ever dropped having led in a single Premier League campaign.

Burnley are winless in their last 10 Premier League games (D3 L7) since a 2-0 win at Fulham in December. Their eight games without a win so far in 2024 is their longest run without a league victory from the start of a calendar year since 2007 (12).

Having won three consecutive Premier League games in October/November, Brentford have since won just three of their last 17 (D1 L13). Since the weekend of the first game in that run, the Bees have lost more Premier League games than any other side (13).

Brentford have conceded 17 headed goals in the Premier League this season, more than any other side. The last team to concede more in a single campaign were Blackburn Rovers in 2011-12 (18), while the highest amount shipped by a team in a season is 20 (Leeds United in 1992-93).

85 percent of Burnley’s Premier League goals this season have come from open play (23/27), with no side netting a higher share of their goals from open play this term (Nottingham Forest also 85 percent). It’s also the Clarets’ highest percentage of goals from open play in a single Premier League campaign.

David Datro Fofana has been involved in four of the six Premier League goals Burnley have scored since his debut for the club in January, scoring three and assisting another. Indeed, across the season as a whole, only Lyle Foster (7) and Zeki Amdouni (5) have been involved in more league goals for the Clarets than Fofana.

Brentford striker Yoane Wissa has scored in each of his last three Premier League games, and has now scored exactly seven goals in all three of his campaigns in the competition. He’s never scored in four consecutive matches within the top two divisions in his European league career.

Luton Town v Nottingham Forest | 17:00 CAT live on SuperSport

Luton are unbeaten in their last five league games against Nottingham Forest (W2 D3), having lost five of six against them before this (W1).

Nottingham Forest lost their last away league game against Luton 1-0 in April 2022, while they also lost on their last top-flight visit to Kenilworth Road in April 1992 (1-2).

Nottingham Forest have won just one of their last 18 Premier League games against promoted sides (D11L6), beating Sheffield United 2-1 earlier this season. Away from home, they’ve drawn eight of their last nine such games, losing the other at Fulham last term.

Luton have lost six of their last eight Premier League home games (W2), including each of the last three in a row. They last lost more consecutive league games at Kenilworth Road in April 2015 in League Two (4), while they last did so in the top-flight in February 1984 (4).

Having scored in each of their first nine Premier League games under Nuno Espírito Santo, Nottingham Forest have lost 1-0 in both of their last two. They last went three top-flight games without a goal in April 1999.

Luton have scored in 13 of their 14 Premier League home games this season, failing only in a 1-0 loss against Tottenham in October. Only Man City, Newcastle and Tottenham (100 percent) have scored in a higher share of their home games this term than the Hatters (93 percent).

Nottingham Forest have won just two of their last 24 Premier League away games (D6 L16), winning 1-0 at Chelsea in September and 3-1 at Newcastle in December. They’ve also kept just two clean sheets in these 24 games, with both shutouts coming in London (1-0 v Chelsea, 0-0 v Crystal Palace).

Between August 2018 and April 2021, Nuno Espírito Santo only lost three consecutive Premier League games on one occasion (109 games in total). Since then, he’s done so four times (26 games), including a current run with Nottingham Forest, but has never lost four in a row in the competition.

Carlton Morris has scored in each of his last three Premier League home games for Luton. He’s been involved in four (3 goals, 1 assist) in his last four at Kenilworth Road, one more than in his first 10 at home in the competition (1 goal, 2 assists).

Chris Wood scored both of Nottingham Forest’s goals in their 2-2 draw with Luton in the reverse fixture. His next goal will be his 150th in English league football, while Forest would be the fifth team he’s scored 10+ goals with in the top four tiers (Burnley 49, Leeds 41, Leicester 14, Millwall 11).

Fulham v Tottenham Hotspur | 19:30 CAT, live on SuperSport

Fulham have lost 14 of their last 16 Premier League games against Tottenham (W1 D1), and are winless in nine (D1 L8) since a 1-0 win at White Hart Lane in March 2013.

Tottenham have won each of their last seven Premier League away games against Fulham, their joint longest run of away league victories against an opponent (also two runs of seven against Aston Villa).

Fulham have won their last two Premier League home London derbies, beating West Ham 5-0 and Arsenal 2-1 in December. They’ve never won three consecutive such matches in the top-flight before.

Tottenham have lost just one of their last 10 Premier League London derbies away from home (W3 D6),and are unbeaten in six (W3 D3) since a 3-1 loss at Arsenal in October last season.

Only the current top five clubs and Newcastle have won more Premier League home games than Fulham this season (8). The Cottagers’ eight home wins is as many as they managed last season, while they last won more in a single top-flight campaign in 2011-12 (10).

Following their 4-0 win at Aston Villa last time out, Tottenham are looking to secure back-to-back away league wins for the first time since October. They’ve scored at least twice in each of their last six on the road, only once having a longer run in their league history (10 between April and October 1960).

Only the current top three sides have scored more Premier League goals this season than Tottenham (59). Their rate of 2.2 goals per game is their second highest in a single Premier League campaign, after 2016-17 (2.3).

Rodrigo Muniz has been involved in six goals in his last six Premier League games (5 goals, 1 assist), having not scored or assisted in any of his first 10. However, he has started his last six in the competition, having started just three of his first 10.

Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has been involved in 22 goals in his last 21 Premier League appearances,scoring 14 and assisting eight. The Korean has also had a hand in six goals in his last six London derby matches for Spurs (5 goals, 1 assist).

Timo Werner has been involved in four goals in seven league appearances for Spurs (2 goals, 2 assists). He’s looking to score in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time, last doing so in league competition in November/December 2019 with RB Leipzig (a run of 7).

West Ham United v Aston Villa | 16:00 CAT, live on SuperSport

West Ham are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League home games against Aston Villa (W4 D4) since a 2-1 loss in April 2011 under Avram Grant.

Following their 4-1 win at Villa Park in October, Aston Villa are looking to complete the Premier League double over West Ham for just the second time, previously doing so in 2010-11.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in eight Premier League games in London under Unai Emery (W6 D2), winning the last four in a row, having lost eight of their previous nine under Steven Gerrard/Dean Smith. It’s their longest run without defeat, and joint-longest winning run in the capital in their league history.

After a winless run of six Premier League games from the start of the year (D3 L3), West Ham have now won two of their last three (D1). They’ve scored nine goals in these three matches, just one fewer than they’d managed in their previous 10 league games combined (10).

Aston Villa have won each of their last three Premier League away games by an aggregate score of 10-3. They last had a longer winning run on the road in the top-flight between November 2008 and February 2009 (7).

Only Arsenal (31) have scored more first-half goals than Aston Villa (29) in the Premier League this season, while only Manchester City (14) have been leading at halftime more often than the Villans (13).

Danny Ings scored his first Premier League goal of the season in West Ham’s 2-2 with Burnley last time out. He played 48 Premier League games for Aston Villa, and could become the third player to score a Premier League goal against four different teams he’s previously played for in the competition (Burnley, Liverpool, Southampton) along with Peter Crouch and Nicolas Anelka.

Ollie Watkins’ 16 Premier League goals have been worth 13 points to Aston Villa this season, with no player’s strikes being more valuable for their side this term. It’s the most points a Villa player has earned with his goals in a single top-flight campaign since Christian Benteke in 2012-13 (14).

All 12 of West Ham’s Premier League wins this season have been when Lucas Paquetá has been in the starting line-up, with the Hammers failing to win any of their seven games when the Brazilian doesn’t start (D3 L4).

Aston Villa striker Ollie Watkins has scored a brace in his last two Premier League away games, doing so in a 2-1 win at Fulham and a 3-2 win at Luton. Only two players have ever scored multiple goals in three consecutive away appearances in the competition – Dennis Bergkamp (September 1997) and Harry Kane (September 2017).