Arsenal have a 21.9% chance of winning the 2022-23 Premier League title, with Manchester City the big favourites (78.1%). This is a significant change from two weeks ago, when Arsenal had a 55.4% chance.
Victory for Arsenal against Man City would boost their title chances back up to over 50% - but defeat would leave them with just a 9% chance of claiming their first league title since 2003-04.
Arsenal have drawn their last three Premier League games, letting 2-goal leads slip against both Liverpool and West Ham, before recovering a 3-1 deficit against Southampton. A draw in this game would increase their chances of winning the league by 6%, but Man City would still be the overwhelming favourites.
Man City's chances of winning the title are the highest they've been so far in 2023 (78.1%).
